Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/208232
Authors: 
Scheubel, Beatrice
Tafuro, Andrea
Vonessen, Benjamin
Year of Publication: 
2018
Series/Report no.: 
ECB Working Paper 2198
Abstract: 
In the policy debate on the effectiveness of the Global Financial Safety Net, concerns have been raised that expectations of adverse effects of IMF programmes may deter countries from asking for an IMF programme when they need one, a form of "IMF stigma". We explore the existence of IMF financial market stigma using monthly data by estimating how and to which extent adverse market reactions to a programme materialise and how past experience with adverse market reactions affects subsequent IMF programme participation. Our results, derived with event history techniques and propensity score matching, indicate no role for "IMF stigma" stemming from the fear of adverse market movements. Instead, we find evidence of "IMF recidivism" driven by adverse selection and IMF conditionality.
Subjects: 
Capital flows
IMF conditionality
IMF recidivism
Global Financial Safety Net
Asian Crisis
treasury bill rates
JEL: 
E02
F32
F33
F34
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
ISBN: 
978-92-899-3303-2
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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