Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/207346 
Year of Publication: 
2019
Series/Report no.: 
IZA Discussion Papers No. 12520
Publisher: 
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), Bonn
Abstract: 
This study builds on Autor and Dorn's (2013) classification of automatable work at the three-digit occupation code level to identify additional jobs that will be automatable in the next decade by drawing on patent data. Based on this new classification the study provides estimates of the share of jobs that we expect to be automatable in the EU and across 25 individual countries. The study highlights that aspects of 47% of jobs will be automatable over the next decade, with 35% of all jobs being fully automatable. It also provides some evidence that 'thinking' and 'people' skills will become increasingly important for the fourth industrial revolution. The study puts emphasis on the fact that these estimates are based on static models. Assuming that some of the rents from labor technology will filter back into the economy it is expected that other occupations will expand in number as people consume more goods and services.
Subjects: 
skills
labor markets
robots
JEL: 
J23
J24
O20
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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