Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/205512 
Autor:innen: 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2003
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
New Zealand Treasury Working Paper No. 03/07
Verlag: 
New Zealand Government, The Treasury, Wellington
Zusammenfassung: 
Many policy models require assumptions about future population trends. Sensitivity tests for these assumptions are normally carried out by comparing population projection variants. This paper outlines some of the conditions that variant-based sensitivity tests must meet if they are to be informative. It then describes four common situations where these conditions are not met, so that conventional sensitivity tests are not informative. The solution, the paper argues, is stochastic population projections.
Schlagwörter: 
Demography
Sensitivity testing
Population projections
Policy modelling
JEL: 
C52
E17
J11
Creative-Commons-Lizenz: 
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Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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