Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/204499 
Year of Publication: 
2019
Series/Report no.: 
Kiel Working Paper No. 2141
Publisher: 
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), Kiel
Abstract: 
This paper reports the results from a statistical analysis of pharmaceutical price negotiations in Germany, where the pricing system was changed in 2011 in order to tie prices more to the benefits of the pharmaceuticals. A multiple linear regression of 187 pharmaceuticals which were assessed from 2011 to 2017 suggests that, despite the change, the manufacturers' launch strategy (freely chosen first year price) still has a major impact on pricing while the impact of the additional benefit remains comparably small. Moreover, the data suggest that the assessment of the Federal Joint Committee - while not yet existing at the point - best explains the manufacturer's launch strategy, indicating that manufacturers know more than they reveal.
Subjects: 
AMNOG
early benefit assessment
pharmaceuticals
JEL: 
I10
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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