Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/204376 
Year of Publication: 
2014
Series/Report no.: 
IFRO Working Paper No. 2014/08
Publisher: 
University of Copenhagen, Department of Food and Resource Economics (IFRO), Copenhagen
Abstract: 
We estimate the production function for agricultural output in Eastern Africa incorporating climate variables disaggregated into growing and non-growing seasons. We find a substantial negative effect of within growing season variance of precipitation. We simulate predicted climate change for the region and find a resulting output reduction of between 1.2% and 4.5%. We also find substantial potential for mitigating the effects of within growing season precipitation variability through conventional technologies such as flexible planting and rainwater harvesting that substantially exceeds the potential loss from predicted climate change.
Subjects: 
Climate change
adaptation policy
Eastern Africa
agricultural production
JEL: 
Q18
Q54
O55
E23
O13
R11
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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