Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/204026 
Authors: 
Year of Publication: 
2019
Series/Report no.: 
wiiw Working Paper No. 161
Publisher: 
The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw), Vienna
Abstract: 
The paper investigates how war and the war-related government policies affected economic activity of the separatist-controlled areas of Ukraine. The paper applies a quasi-experimental study design to estimate the impact of two events on the separatist-controlled areas the introduction of the separatist control and the introduction of the second round of the trade ban, which was imposed by the government of Ukraine on the separatist-controlled territories in 2017. Using a difference-in-difference estimation procedure that controls for the yearly and monthly effects, individual fixed effects, and the region-specific time shocks, the study finds that the separatist rule decreased the economic activity by 38% in the Donetsk region and 51% in the Luhansk region according to the preferred specifications. At the same time, the trade ban of the year 2017 against the major industrial enterprises of the separatist-controlled areas decreased luminosity by 20%. The paper argues that the trade disruptions due to the war actions were nested within the negative effect of the separatist rule and accounted for half of it.
Subjects: 
costs of war
satellite data
trade
Ukraine crisis
political economy
JEL: 
D74
E01
E20
F51
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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