Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/202487
Authors: 
Dogliolo, Fiorella
Year of Publication: 
2018
Series/Report no.: 
Economic Research Working Papers 78
Abstract (Translated): 
In this paper I present a real-time estimation of the evolution of the Investment, constructed from a broad set of high frequency economic indicators: known in the literature as Nowcasting. The Nowcast exercise was developed considering three groups of monthly indicators throughout dynamic factor models to forecast Investment growth. Additionally, I conducted a forecast-pooling exercise. Using the Giacomini and White test it was possible to conclude that factor models and the pooling exhibit a better relative predictive capacity than an AR (1) model considered as a benchmark. Furthermore, the inclusion of more indicators does not necessarily improve the predictive capacity.
JEL: 
C22
C53
E37
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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