Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/202485
Authors: 
Lanteri, Luis N.
Year of Publication: 
2017
Series/Report no.: 
Economic Research Working Papers 76
Abstract (Translated): 
This paper investigates the sources of fluctuations in exports of primary products and manufactures of agricultural origin in Argentina, using structural VEC models (Structural Vector Error Correction) and annual data covering the period 1980-2016. To this end, long term restrictions are imposed on these models and the following structural shocks are identified: real effective exchange rate of U.S., international prices of commodities, agricultural GDP and real exchange rate of Argentina (in addition to exports of these products). The results show that the main sources of fluctuations in exports, after ten years, would be the shocks in international prices and real exchange rate of U.S., while the importance of the real exchange rate of Argentina and, especially, of the supply shocks would be smaller.
Subjects: 
macroeconomic shocks
exports
primary products
SVEC models
Argentina
JEL: 
C3
F1
Q1
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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