Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/202007 
Year of Publication: 
2019
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 7781
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
About 1.4 million refugees and irregular migrants arrived in Europe in 2015 and 2016. We model how refugees and irregular migrants are self-selected. Using unique datasets from the International Organization for Migration and Gallup World Polls, we provide the first large-scale evidence on reasons to emigrate, and the self-selection and sorting of refugees and irregular migrants for multiple origin and destination countries. Refugees and female irregular migrants are positively self-selected with respect to education, while male irregular migrants are not. We also find that both male and female migrants from major conflict countries are positively self-selected in terms of their predicted income. For countries with minor or no conflict, migrant and non-migrant men do not differ in terms of their income distribution, while women who emigrate are positively self-selected. We also analyze how border controls affect destination country choice.
Subjects: 
refugees
self-selection
human capital
predicted income
JEL: 
J15
J24
O15
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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