Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/198974 
Year of Publication: 
2019
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 7614
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
What causes U.S. trade with Mexico and Canada to continue growing faster, for up to a decade, relative to countries with which the U.S. does not have a free trade agreement? Baier and Bergstrand (2007) suggest that tariff phase-out and delayed pass-through of tariffs into import prices could cause such prolonged differential import growth. We examine how tariff cuts negotiated under the Canada-US Free Trade Agreement and the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) affected U.S. import growth in 1989{2016 using detailed product-level data on tariff phase-out in the original treaties. We find essentially no evidence for the tariff phase-out or delayed pass through explanations. Rather, we find evidence for an important role played by NAFTA tariff cuts reducing the impacts of frictions at various extensive margins.
Subjects: 
free trade agreements
CUSFTA
NAFTA
trade
phase-out
tariffs
extensive margin
JEL: 
F10
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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