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Kompletter Metadatensatz
DublinCore-Feld | Wert | Sprache |
---|---|---|
dc.contributor.author | Sawischlewski, Katja | en |
dc.contributor.author | Menkhoff, Lukas | en |
dc.contributor.author | Beckmann, Daniela | en |
dc.date.accessioned | 2009-01-28T16:07:13Z | - |
dc.date.available | 2009-01-28T16:07:13Z | - |
dc.date.issued | 2005 | - |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/10419/19796 | - |
dc.description.abstract | Early warning systems (EWSs) are subject to restrictions that apply to exchange rates in general: fundamentals matter but their influence is small and unstable. Keeping this in mind, five lessons emerge : First, EWSs have robust forecasting power and thus help policy-makers to prevent crises. Second, among competing crisis definitions there is one which is most practical. Third, take a logit model to condense information from various fundamental variables. Fourth, add a regional contagion dummy to the standard set of variables. Fifth, one may be tempted to address instability over time and countries by taking shorter samples and regional EWSs. | en |
dc.language.iso | eng | en |
dc.publisher | |aVerein für Socialpolitik, Ausschuss für Entwicklungsländer |cHannover | en |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | |aProceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Kiel 2005 |x3 | en |
dc.subject.jel | F31 | en |
dc.subject.jel | F33 | en |
dc.subject.jel | F37 | en |
dc.subject.ddc | 330 | en |
dc.subject.keyword | early warning system | en |
dc.subject.keyword | currency crises | en |
dc.subject.keyword | emerging markets | en |
dc.title | Robust Lessons about Practical Early Warning Systems | - |
dc.type | Conference Paper | en |
dc.identifier.ppn | 500741735 | en |
dc.rights | http://www.econstor.eu/dspace/Nutzungsbedingungen | en |
dc.identifier.repec | RePEc:zbw:gdec05:3476 | en |
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