Albanese, Andrea Ghirelli, Corinna Picchio, Matteo
Year of Publication:
IZA Discussion Papers No. 12171
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), Bonn
We study how unemployment benefit eligibility affects the layoff exit rate by exploiting quasi-experimental variation in eligibility rules in Italy. By using a difference-indifferences estimator, we find an instantaneous increase of about 12% in the layoff probability when unemployment benefit eligibility is attained, which persists for about 16 weeks. These findings are robust to different identifying assumptions and are mostly driven by jobs started after the onset of the Great Recession, in the South and for small firms. We argue that the moral hazard from the employer's side is the main force driving these layoffs.
unemployment insurance layoffs employer-employee moral hazard difference-in-differences heterogeneous effects