Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/196498
Authors: 
Hüther, Michael
Dullien, Sebastian
Klodt, Henning
Belke, Ansgar
Burghof, Hans-Peter
Year of Publication: 
2017
Citation: 
[Journal:] Wirtschaftsdienst [ISSN:] 1613-978X [Volume:] 97 [Year:] 2017 [Issue:] 3 [Pages:] 159-179
Abstract: 
Mit der neuen Präsidentschaft in den USA sind Richtungswechsel auf verschiedenen Gebieten verbunden: Prominent ist dabei die Handelspolitik, die durch Strafzölle, aber auch durch die importbelastende Cashfl ow-Steuer mit Grenzausgleich und einen schwachen US-Dollar der heimischen Industrie Wettbewerbsvorteile verschaffen soll. Multilaterale Regeln im internationalen Handel werden missachtet und Abkommen sollen bilateral neu verhandelt werden. Inwieweit diese Strategie durchsetzbar ist und welche Folgen sie für den Welthandel hat, lässt sich noch nicht abschließend sagen. Geplant sind darüber hinaus ein umfassendes Infrastrukturprogramm und Steuersenkungen mit möglichen massiven Budgetdefiziten. Auf dem Finanzmarkt soll die Kreditvergabe durch ein Aufweichen strikter Regeln erleichtert werden.
Abstract (Translated): 
Under US President Donald Trump, it can be expected that large tax cuts will be passed and public expenditure will be slightly limited. He correctly identified US deindustrialisation as one of the economy's core problems. His proposed policy platforms, however, are unpredictable and most likely harmful for the US and world economy. Even more importantly, the new government repeatedly clashes with national and multilateral institutions and thereby challenges the heart of democratically based capitalism. At present, it is still open if Donald Trump's Executive Orders on trade measures will be backed by the US Congress. In any case, the new US administration is obviously abandoning the general principle of free trade. But the announced changes in US trade and exchange rate policies are less of a fundamental break than is often argued, because cooperation in international economic policy has always been limited and unstable. Beyond trade policy, it seems to be the intention of the new US government to fundamentally change the course of the country with regard to the financial markets . With regard to its monetary policy, the administration's current position is marked by its inherent inconsistency. However, the new government has several channels through which to influence and fundamentally change the working of the Fed in order to make it more obedient to its goals.
JEL: 
H25
F23
F13
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Article

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