Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/195174 
more recent Version: 
Authors: 
Year of Publication: 
2019
Series/Report no.: 
Thünen-Series of Applied Economic Theory - Working Paper No. 148 (revised version)
Version Description: 
Revised version: April 2019
Publisher: 
Universität Rostock, Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre, Rostock
Abstract: 
This paper investigates how demographic change affects the financial sustainability of a defined benefit pay-as-you-go social security system in an environment with collective bargaining on the labor market. Temporary equilibrium analysis shows that the contribution rate decreases, if the old-age dependency ratio rises. The government balances the social security budget by aiming indirectly at a higher level of employment. In the intertemporal equilibrium the opposite applies. The government increases the contribution rate due to additional effects of demographic change on capital accumulation and labor demand. In contrast to a perfect labor market scenario, the imposed financing burden from an aging society is overcompensated by favorable labor market effects on the social security budget.
Subjects: 
demographic change
PAYG pension
social security
trade union
collective bargaining
unemployment
JEL: 
E24
H55
J11
J51
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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