Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/19153
Authors: 
Kirchgässner, Gebhard
Prohl, Silika
Year of Publication: 
2006
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper 1689
Abstract: 
We examine whether Swiss federal fiscal policy was sustainable over the period from 1900 to 2002. We perform unit root and cointegration tests for federal revenues and expenditures, taking into account a structural shift in the budgetary process related to World War II. We find sustainability over the entire period. However, splitting the sample into two sub-samples before and after World War II, the results do much less support sustainability. Finally, applying the tax smoothing model of BARRO (1979), we show that cyclical fluctuations of the output and changes in expected inflation rate are major determinants of the federal budget deficit over the time period considered.
Subjects: 
sustainability
budget deficit
cointegration
structural breaks
JEL: 
H63
H62
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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