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Autoren: 
Andersen, Lykke E.
Datum: 
2006
Reihe/Nr.: 
Development Research Working Paper Series 14/2006
Zusammenfassung: 
The high oil prices and the sharp increases in royalties mean that the natural gas boom in Bolivia has become very important for the economy, and particularly important as a source of government revenues. Using a CGE model, Andersen et al (2006) show that the natural gas boom is likely to boost GDP growth by about 1 percentage point per year. However, if the government continues with past spending and investment patterns, the boom is also likely to have a very adverse effect on the income distribution, so much so that the poorest half of the population is likely to experience absolute reductions in their real income levels compared to a scenario without gas boom. The present paper explores alternative uses of natural gas revenues in the CGE model to see if a better outcome can be engineered.
Schlagwörter: 
Natural Gas
Inequality
CGE model
Bolivia
JEL: 
Q33
Q43
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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