Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/188174 
Year of Publication: 
2014
Citation: 
[Journal:] Pakistan Journal of Commerce and Social Sciences (PJCSS) [ISSN:] 2309-8619 [Volume:] 8 [Issue:] 3 [Publisher:] Johar Education Society, Pakistan (JESPK) [Place:] Lahore [Year:] 2014 [Pages:] 867-886
Publisher: 
Johar Education Society, Pakistan (JESPK), Lahore
Abstract: 
The study mainly focused on the estimation and implementation of the concept of nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) in prominent SAARC countries (Pakistan, Bangladesh, India, Sri Lanka and Nepal) by using a panel dataset during 1971- 2012. Three approaches (i.e. the pooled OLS, the fixed effect, the random effect) were applied for empirical analysis. On the whole, the estimated values of NAIRU were reported 6.80 percent (with supply shocks) and 6.71 percent (without supply shocks) in these countries. The study also reported the values of NAIRU for Pakistan (6.73 percent), Bangladesh (7.85 percent), India (6.06 percent), Sri Lanka (6.04 percent) and Nepal (6.81 percent) separately. Furthermore, it was observed that when actual unemployment rate was below the reported value of NAIRU, there was a pressure on inflation rate to rise and vice versa (ceteris paribus) in these countries. The results were found significant in all the facets of the study. The study not only highlighted the policy implications but also suggested a comprehensive package of policy recommendations to address the problems of inflation and unemployment in SAARC countries.
Subjects: 
NAIRU
Phillips curve
trade-off
inflation
unemployment
supply shocks
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by-nc Logo
Document Type: 
Article

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