Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/185947
Authors: 
Hoffmann, Mathias
Suter, Rahel
Year of Publication: 
2010
Citation: 
[Journal:] Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics [ISSN:] 2235-6282 [Volume:] 146 [Year:] 2010 [Issue:] 1 [Pages:] 349-371
Abstract: 
We examine the role of global and country-specific factors for the Swiss franc exchange rate in the period 1990–2009. Simple asset pricing theory would predict that exchange rates reflect relative movements in national discount factors and that systematic departures from uncovered interest parity can only be explained by international differences in the exposure to the common (global) component of all national discount factors. We extend the methodology of LUSTIG, ROUSSANOV and VERDELHAN (2009) to allow individual currencies' exposure to this global factor to vary over time as a function of the interest rate differential. This allows us to study the time-varying risk characteristics of individual currency pairs. We find that the Swiss franc acts as a safe haven against some currencies - notably for dollar-based investors - but not for all, specifically not the euro. Also, the extent to which global factors have weighed on the Swiss franc exchange rate has varied over the sample period and appears more subdued in the global low interest rate environment of the last decade.
Subjects: 
Currency risk
exchange rate
save haven effects
uncovered interest parity (UIP)
JEL: 
F31
F36
G12
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Document Type: 
Article

Files in This Item:
File
Size
229.49 kB





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.