Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/183323
Authors: 
Grasso, Adriana
Natoli, Filippo
Year of Publication: 
2018
Series/Report no.: 
ECB Working Paper 2141
Abstract: 
We propose a consumption-based model that allows for an inverted term structure of real and nominal risk-free rates. In our framework the agent is subject to time-varying macroeconomic risk and interest rates at all maturities depend on her risk perception which shape saving propensities over time. In bad times, when risk is perceived to be higher in the short- than the long-term, the agent would prefer to hedge against low realizations of consumption in the near future by investing in long-term securities. This determines, in equilibrium, the inversion of the yield curve. Pricing time-varying consumption volatility risk is essential for obtaining the inversion of the real curve and allows to price the average level and slope of the nominal one.
Subjects: 
real rates
uncertainty
habits
inverted yield curve
volatility risk
JEL: 
G12
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
ISBN: 
978-92-899-3246-2
Document Type: 
Working Paper

Files in This Item:
File
Size





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.