Lejour, Arjan Marcel Mervar, Andrea Verweij, Gerard
Year of Publication:
Economics Discussion Papers / Institut für Weltwirtschaft 2008-6
We explore the economic implications of the possible accession of Croatia to the European Union. We focus on two main changes associated with the EU-membership: accession to the internal European Market and institutional reforms in Croatia triggered by the EU-membership. consumption per capita in Croatia is estimated to rise by about 2.5% as a result of accession to the internal market. In particular the textile and wearing apparel sectors expand. If Croatia succeeds in reforming its domestic institutions in response to the EU-membership, income levels in Croatia could increase even more. In particular, tentative estimates suggest that GDP per capita in Croatia could even rise by additional 8%. Overall, the macroeconomic implications for the existing EU countries are negligible.
Regional economic integration General equilibrium model Gravity equations Institutional reform Croatia