Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/177609
Authors: 
Golinelli, Roberto
Mammi, Irene
Musolesi, Antonio
Year of Publication: 
2018
Series/Report no.: 
Quaderni - Working Paper DSE 1120
Abstract: 
A number of novelties have emerged in the study of the discretionary fiscal policy within the Euro area during the last decade. Among the others, the availability of up-to-date information on fiscal indicators for the years following the Great Recession, the introduction of cutting-edge econometric methods, and a renewed interest about the sustainability of fiscal policy and public debt. The aim of this paper is to address the challenges posed by the estimation of the discretionary fiscal reaction function for the Euro area. We exploit recently introduced testing and estimation strategies for heterogeneous dynamic panels with cross-sectional dependence and propose a new parsimonious approach. Using real-time data over the period 1996-2016, we investigate whether the fiscal policy reaction function is still a benchmark after the Great Recession. We find evidence of strong cross-sectional dependence in the panel, and clear support to a valid cointegration relationship among the main determinants of the function. Newly added covariates, such interest rate spreads, come out to play a relevant role in explaining discretionary actions.
Subjects: 
Dynamic panel models
Panel integration and cointegration
Heterogeneous parameters
Common correlated effects
Euro area countries
Fiscal policy reaction functions
real-time data
JEL: 
E62
E61
H60
D80
C33
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Creative Commons License: 
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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