Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/177564
Authors: 
Guellati, Yacine
Monteiro, Claudio Dantas
de Oliveira Júnior, Almir
Year of Publication: 
2017
Series/Report no.: 
Texto para Discussão 2348
Abstract (Translated): 
In Brazil, it has been difficult to elaborate governmental planning surpassing the four-year spectrum from the Pluriannual Plans. Despite the fact of long-term planning attracting a wide range of sectors, it still occupies a small space in both political and State agendas. Hence, the present study intends to initiate a new cycle of debates regarding the issue as it presents questions and factors to subsidy long-term strategies. Using methodological tools from Strategic Prospective, we present trends and uncertainties regarding social problems in the Brazilian case - contemplating topics such as demographic changes, inequalities, urban and social infrastructure, years of schooling of the population and the use of technology in education. This study is part of Brazil 2035, a project whose objective is to provide subsidies to formulate long-term development strategies for Brazil through Prospective Scenarios. Thus, this text presents a preliminary stage of a prospective process regarding the identification and analysis of the main variables. We do not intend to be conclusive; but rather to present some key factors and questions, which will affect Brazilian development until 2035.
Subjects: 
strategic prospective
prospective scenarios
long-term planning
society
public policy
demographic changes
urban and social infrastructure
education and culture
JEL: 
I00
J10
J11
L38
O18
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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