Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/177542
Authors: 
Lima, Raphael Camargo
Curado, Maurício Pinheiro Fleury
Year of Publication: 
2017
Series/Report no.: 
Texto para Discussão 2326
Abstract (Translated): 
In Brazil, it has been difficult to elaborate governmental planning surpassing the four-year spectrum from the Pluriannual Plans. Despite the fact of long-term planning attracting a wide range of sectors, it still occupies a small space in both political and State agendas. Hence, the present study intends to initiate a new cycle of debates regarding the issue as it presents questions and factors to subsidy long-term strategies. Using methodological tools from Strategic Prospective, we present both the methodological approach to scenarios and the trends and uncertainties regarding the relationship between State and Society - contemplating topics such as organization of the state apparatus, governmental planning, federative relations and social participation. This study is part of Brazil 2035, a project whose objective is to provide subsidies to formulate long-term development strategies for Brazil through Prospective Scenarios. Thus, this text presents a preliminary stage of a prospective process regarding the identification and analysis of the main variables. We do not intend to be conclusive; but rather to present some key factors and questions, which will affect Brazilian development until 2035.
Subjects: 
strategic prospective
prospective scenarios
long-term planning
state
public management
public policy
federalism
social participation
JEL: 
C53
D73
L38
H10
H11
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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