Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/176946
Authors: 
Vertier, Paul
Viskanic, Max
Year of Publication: 
2018
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper 6927
Abstract: 
Can a small scale inflow of migrants affect electoral outcomes? We study whether the relocation of migrants from the Calais “Jungle” to temporary migrant-centers (CAOs) in France affected the results of the 2017 presidential election. Using an instrumental variables approach that relies on the size of holiday villages present in municipalities, we find that the presence of a CAO reduced the vote share increase of the far-right party (Front National) by about 15.7 percent. These effects, which dissipate spatially and depend on city characteristics and on the size of the inflow, point towards the contact hypothesis (Allport (1954)).
Subjects: 
political economy
voting
migration
EU
France
migrants
JEL: 
C36
D72
J15
P16
R23
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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