Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/175270 
Title: 

Back to the future: Changing job profiles in the digital age

The document was removed on behalf of the author(s)/ the editor(s).

Year of Publication: 
2018
Series/Report no.: 
Agenda Austria Working Paper No. 13
Publisher: 
Agenda Austria, Wien
Abstract: 
In light of increasingly "smarter" technologies, the future of (human) labour is questioned on a daily basis. A study by Frey and Osborne (2013), one of the most recognised contributions in this domain, estimated that half of the US labour force is highly susceptible to computerisation in the near future. Their findings have been applied for several follow-up investigations in other countries. However, the transferability of the results is limited by the set-up of the study. In contrast to previous investigations, our approach tries to overcome past shortcomings by collecting assessments on the susceptibility to digital technologies for the Austrian labour market by Austrian experts. We show that the diversity of previous findings regarding the degree of job automatisation is to a large extent driven by model selection and not by controlling for personal characteristics or tasks. Our results indicate that while clerical computer-based routine jobs are likely to change in the next decade, professional activities, e.g., the processing of complex information, are prone to digital change.
Subjects: 
Bayesian
Classification
Employment
GLM
Technological Change
JEL: 
E24
J24
J31
J62
O33
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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The document was removed on behalf of the author(s)/ the editor(s) on: August 23, 2019


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