Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/172982 
Year of Publication: 
2017
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper No. 6706
Publisher: 
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo), Munich
Abstract: 
We examine whether conservative politicians are less likely to support same-sex marriage when they run for office in safe districts using new data based on a roll-call vote in the national German parliament. The results show that the margin of the majority for the incumbent in the previous election was a strong predictor for supporting same-sex marriage. When the majority increased by one percentage point, the likelihood of voting in favour of same-sex marriage decreased by around 1.3 percentage points. We conjecture that politicians are election-motivated – even when submitting roll-call votes on a matter of conscience.
Subjects: 
same-sex marriage
gay rights
safe districts
vote margins
supermajorities
roll-call votes
JEL: 
D72
D78
P16
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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