Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/169323 
Year of Publication: 
2016
Series/Report no.: 
ADB Economics Working Paper Series No. 492
Publisher: 
Asian Development Bank (ADB), Manila
Abstract: 
The Chinese economy is slowing down and, at the same time, it is in the midst of a structural transformation from an export- and investment-led economy to a domestic demand- and consumption-led growth paradigm. While there are widespread concerns in the People's Republic of China's (PRC) trading partners about the effect of the PRC's growth slowdown on their exports, the PRC's structural change is also likely to have a significant impact - e.g. the PRC will import fewer machines and more cosmetics. The central objective of our paper is to empirically examine the effect of the PRC's structural transformation on the exports of East and Southeast Asian economies, which have close trade linkages with the PRC. We find that economies which failed to increase the share of consumption goods in their exports to the PRC suffered larger declines in their exports to the PRC. In addition, economies that suffered losses in their shares of the PRC's parts and components imports suffered losses in their shares of the PRC's total imports.
Subjects: 
People's Republic of China
East Asia
export
global value chain
structural change
JEL: 
F14
F41
Creative Commons License: 
cc-by Logo
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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