Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/169205
Authors: 
Kliem, Martin
Meyer-Gohde, Alexander
Year of Publication: 
2017
Series/Report no.: 
SFB 649 Discussion Paper 2017-015
Abstract: 
We analyze an estimated stochastic general equilibrium model that replicates key macroeconomic and fi nancial stylized facts during the Great Moderation of 1983-2007. Our model predicts a sizeable and volatile nominal term premium - comparable to recent reduced-form empirical estimates - with real risk two times more important than inflation risk for the average nominal term premia. The model enables us to address salient questions about the effects of monetary policy on the term structure of interest rates. We fi nd that monetary policy shocks can have differing effects on risk premia. Actions by the monetary authority with a persistent effect on households' expectations have substantial effects on nominal and real risk premia. Our model rationalizes many of the opposing findings on the effects of monetary policy on term premia in the empirical literature.
Subjects: 
DSGE model
Bayesian estimation
Term structure
Monetary policy
JEL: 
E13
E31
E43
E44
E52
Document Type: 
Working Paper
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