Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/168152
Authors: 
Gold, Robert
Dippel, Christian
Heblich, Stephan
Pinto, Rodrigo
Year of Publication: 
2017
Series/Report no.: 
Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2017: Alternative Geld- und Finanzarchitekturen - Session: Voting C20-V1
Abstract: 
We identify how German voters responded to the labor market turmoil caused by increasing trade with low-wage manufacturing countries. We first establish that import competition increased voters’ support for only extreme (right) parties. We then decompose this populist ‘total effect’ of trade on voting into a ‘mediated effect’ running through labor market adjustments and an independent ‘direct effect’. Our Causal Mediation Analysis reveals that direct and indirect effect work in opposite directions.
JEL: 
C36
D72
F16
Document Type: 
Conference Paper

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