Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/162685
Authors: 
Grintzalis, Ioannis
Lodge, David
Manu, Ana-Simona
Year of Publication: 
2017
Series/Report no.: 
ECB Working Paper 2034
Abstract: 
We present estimates of finance-adjusted output gaps which incorporate the information on the domestic and global credit cycles for a sample of emerging market economies (EMEs). Following recent BIS research, we use a state-space representation of an HP filter augmented with a measure of the credit gap to estimate finance-adjusted output gaps. We measure the domestic and global credit gaps as the deviation of private-sector real credit growth and net capital flows to EMEs from long-term trends, using the asymmetric Band-Pass filter. Overall, we find that financial cycle information is associated with cyclical movements in output. In the current circumstances, the estimates suggest that if financing and credit conditions were to tighten, it would be associated with a moderation in activity in some EMEs.
Subjects: 
domestic credit cycle
global financial cycle
output gap
JEL: 
C32
E32
F32
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
ISBN: 
978-92-899-2756-7
Document Type: 
Working Paper

Files in This Item:
File
Size





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.