Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/157923
Authors: 
Forte, Giuseppe
Portes, Jonathan
Year of Publication: 
2017
Series/Report no.: 
GLO Discussion Paper 69
Abstract: 
This paper examines the determinants of long-term international migration to the UK; we explore the extent to which migration is driven by macroeconomic variables (GDP per capita, unemployment rate) as well as law and policy (the existence of “free movement” rights for EEA nationals). We find a very large impact from free movement within the EEA. We also find that macroeconomic variables – UK GDP growth and GDP at origin – are significant drivers of migration flows; evidence for the impact of the unemployment rate in countries of origin, or of the exchange rate, however, is weak. We conclude that, while future migration flows will be driven by a number of factors, macroeconomic and otherwise, Brexit and the end of free movement will result in a large fall in immigration from EEA countries to the UK.
Subjects: 
Brexit
EU
Immigration
UK
JEL: 
F22
J61
J68
Document Type: 
Working Paper

Files in This Item:
File
Size





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.