Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/156254
Authors: 
Haupenthal, Andreas
Neuenkirch, Matthias
Year of Publication: 
2016
Series/Report no.: 
Research Papers in Economics 8/16
Abstract: 
During the first eight months of 2015, there was an ongoing debate about whether or not Greece should remain in the euro area. Using an event study approach, we quantify the effects of Grexit-related statements made by six important euro area politicians (Merkel, Schaeuble, Tsipras, Varoufakis, Juncker, and Schulz) on intraday stock returns in Germany, Greece, and the euro area during the period of January 1, 2015 - August 19, 2015. We show that positive statements indicating that a Grexit is less likely lead to higher returns, and negative statements to lower returns. The overall impact of negative statements is more pronounced. The cumulative absolute effects on stock returns are sizeable as the statements contribute to a variation of up to 58 percentage points in the ATHEX. These large effects are of particular relevance as our study only captures an eight month snapshot of the Greek government debt crisis.
Subjects: 
Event Study
Grexit
Intraday Data
Political Statements
Stock Returns
JEL: 
G01
G12
G14
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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