Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/156201
Authors: 
Riphahn, Regina T.
Wiynck, Frederik
Year of Publication: 
2016
Series/Report no.: 
BGPE Discussion Paper 164
Abstract: 
We exploit the 1996 reform of the German child benefit program to identify the causal effect of heterogeneous child benefits on fertility. While generally the reform increased child benefits, the exact amount of the increase varied substantially by household income and sibship size. We use these heterogeneities to identify their causal effects on fertility in a difference-in-differences setting. We apply the large samples of the German Mikrozensus and the rich data of the German Socio-economic Panel (SOEP). The reform effects on low income couples are not robust or statistically significant. We find some support for positive fertility effects for higher as opposed to lower income couples deciding on a second birth.
Subjects: 
child benefits
fertility
tax allowance
causal effect
difference-in-differences
Mikrozensus
SOEP
JEL: 
J13
I38
C54
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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