Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/156149
Authors: 
Cheung, Yin-Wong
Steinkamp, Sven
Westermann, Frank
Year of Publication: 
2015
Series/Report no.: 
Working Paper, Institute of Empirical Economic Research, University of Osnabrück 103
Abstract: 
We study China's illicit capital flow and document a change in its pattern. Specifically, we observe that China's capital flight, especially the one measured by trade misinvoicing, exhibits a weakened response in the post-2007 period to the covered interest disparity, which is a theoretical determinant of capital flight. Further analyses indicate that the post-2007 behavior is influenced by quantitative easing and other factors including exchange rate variability, capital control policy and trade frictions. Our study confirms that China's capital flight pattern and its determinants are affected by the crisis event. Further, both the canonical and additional explanatory variables have different effects on different measures of capital flight. These results highlight the challenges of managing China's capital flight, which requires information on the period and the type of capital flight that the policy authorities would like to target.
Subjects: 
World Bank Residual Method
Trade Misinvoicing
Quantitative Easing
Capital Controls
Covered Interest Disparity
JEL: 
F3
F32
G15
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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