Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/155531
Autoren: 
Henkel, Marcel
Seidel, Tobias
Datum: 
2016
Reihe/Nr.: 
CESifo Working Paper 6289
Zusammenfassung: 
We use a quantitative model to study the implications of European integration for welfare and migration flows across 1,318 regions. The model suggests that an increase of trade barriers to the level of 1957 reduces welfare by about 1-2 percent on average, depending on the presumed trade elasticity. However, remote regions may face initial welfare losses of up to 4 percent causing an estimated migration of about 8 million individuals to the European core. This implies that the dismantling of trade barriers in Europe has led to a more homogeneous spatial distribution of economic activity. With regard to the Brexit, we find moderate welfare losses for the UK of -0.44 percent in the most pessimistic scenario while continental Europe’s welfare declines by 0.18 percent. In the most unfavorable scenario, about 500,000 people would leave the UK in the long run.
Schlagwörter: 
regional integration
labor mobility
spatial inequality
JEL: 
F10
F12
F15
R11
R12
R13
R23
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

Datei(en):
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