Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/154418
Authors: 
Nakata, Taisuke
Schmidt, Sebastian
Year of Publication: 
2016
Series/Report no.: 
ECB Working Paper 1985
Abstract: 
Macroeconomists are increasingly using nonlinear models to account for the effects of risk in the analysis of business cycles. In the monetary business cycle models widely used at central banks, an explicit recognition of risk generates a wedge between the inflation-target parameter in the monetary policy rule and the risky steady state (RSS) of inflation - the rate to which inflation will eventually converge - which can be undesirable in some practical applications. We propose a simple modification to the standard monetary policy rule to eliminate the wedge. In the proposed risk-adjusted policy rule, the intercept of the rule is modified so that the RSS of inflation equals the inflation-target parameter in the policy rule.
Subjects: 
effective lower bound
inflation targeting
monetary policy rule
risk
risky steady state
JEL: 
E32
E52
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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