Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/154378 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2016
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
ECB Working Paper No. 1945
Verlag: 
European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt a. M.
Zusammenfassung: 
The paper analyses the anchoring of inflation expectations of professional forecasters and consumers in the euro area. We study anchoring, defined as the central bank’s ability to manage expectations, by paying special attention to the impact of the ECB inflation target and ECB inflation projections on inflation expectations. Our analysis indicates that longer-term inflation forecasts have become somewhat more sensitive to shorter-term forecasts and to actual HICP inflation in the post-crisis period. We also find that the ECB inflation projections have recently become more important for short- and medium-term professional forecasts and at the same time the role of the ECB inflation target for those expectations has diminished. Overall, our analysis suggests that in recent years inflation expectations in the euro area have shown some signs of de-anchoring.
Schlagwörter: 
anchoring
euro area
financial crisis
inflation expectations
survey data
JEL: 
D84
E52
E58
Persistent Identifier der Erstveröffentlichung: 
ISBN: 
978-92-899-2193-0
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

Datei(en):
Datei
Größe
1.46 MB





Publikationen in EconStor sind urheberrechtlich geschützt.