Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/154163
Authors: 
Konečný, Tomáš
Babecká Kucharčuková, Oxana
Year of Publication: 
2014
Series/Report no.: 
ECB Working Paper 1730
Abstract: 
Various approaches have been employed to explore the possibility of non-linear feedback between the real and financial sector. The present study focuses on the impact of real shocks on selected financial sector indicators, and the responses of the real economy to impulses emanating from the financial sector. We estimate the threshold Bayesian VAR with block restrictions and the credit spread as a threshold variable using the example of the Czech Republic. We find that while there is no evidence of asymmetric effects across positive and negative shocks, the responses of the financial sector to real shocks tend to differ in low and high credit spread regimes. Responses in the opposite direction (i.e. from the financial sector to the real economy) are procyclical and similar irrespective of regime. A positive shock to credit and a negative shock to the NPL increase industrial production over the entire time horizon. The direct impact of foreign factors on lending seems to be rather limited.
Subjects: 
credit
non-linearities
small open economy
JEL: 
E51
C15
C32
ISBN: 
978-92-899-1138-2
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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