Abildgren, Kim Vølund Buchholst, Birgitte Staghøj, Jonas
Year of Publication:
ECB Working Paper 1516
Utilising a unique data set with annual accounts from around 37,000 Danish non-financial firms spanning almost one and a half decade, we offer microeconometric evidence on bankfirm relationships and the survival of firms during the financial crisis 2008-9. Within the framework of accounting-based credit-scoring models we find that the probability of default during the crisis was significantly higher for firms with a “weak” bank than for comparable firms with a “sound” bank– even after controlling for differences in the credit quality of firms. We discuss how to interpret these results in relation to the real effects of financial crisis.
bank-firm relationships financial crisis firm survival probability of default