Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/153889 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2012
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
ECB Working Paper No. 1456
Verlag: 
European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt a. M.
Zusammenfassung: 
We use changes in Brazil’s tax on capital inflows from 2006 to 2011 to test for direct portfolio effects and externalities from capital controls on investor portfolios. The analysis is structured based on information from investor interviews. We find that an increase in Brazil’s tax on foreign investment in bonds causes investors to significantly decrease their portfolio allocations to Brazil in both bonds and equities. Investors simultaneously increase allocations to other countries that have substantial exposure to China and decrease allocations to countries viewed as more likely to use capital controls. Much of the effect of capital controls on portfolio flows appears to occur through signalling —i.e. changes in investor expectations about future policies— rather than the direct cost of the controls. This evidence of significant externalities from capital controls suggests that any assessment of controls should consider their effects on portfolio flows to other countries.
Schlagwörter: 
Brazil
Capital controls
emerging markets
externalities
mutual funds
portfolio effects
signalling
spillovers
JEL: 
F3
F4
F5
G0
G1
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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