Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/153532
Authors: 
Andersson, Magnus
Hofmann, Boris
Year of Publication: 
2009
Series/Report no.: 
ECB Working Paper 1098
Abstract: 
This paper conducts a comparative analysis of the performances of the forward guidance strategies adopted by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, the Norges Bank and the Riksbank, with the aim to gauge whether forward guidance via publication of an own interest rate path enhances a central bank’s ability to steer market expectations. Two main results emerge. First, we find evidence that all three central banks have been highly predictable in their monetary policy decisions and that long-term inflation expectations have been well anchored in the three economies, irrespective of whether forward guidance involved publication of an own interest rate path or not. Second, for New Zealand, we find weak evidence that a publication of a path could potentially enhance a central bank’s leverage on the medium term structure of interest rates.
Subjects: 
central bank communication
forward guidance
monetary policy
Term structure of interest rates
transparency
JEL: 
E40
E43
E52
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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