Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/148975
Authors: 
Gassebner, Martin
Gutmann, Jerg
Voigt, Stefan
Year of Publication: 
2016
Series/Report no.: 
KOF Working Papers 409
Abstract: 
Over the last several decades, both economists and political scientists have shown interest in coups d'état. Numerous studies have been dedicated to understanding the causes of coups. However, model uncertainty still looms large. About one hundred potential determinants of coups have been proposed, but no consensus has emerged on an established baseline model for analyzing coups. We address this problem by testing the sensitivity of inferences to over three million model permutations in an extreme bounds analysis. Overall, we test the robustness of 66 factors proposed in the empirical literature based on a monthly sample of 164 countries that covers the years 1952 to 2011. We find that slow economic growth rates, previous coup experiences, and other forms of political violence to be particularly conducive to inciting coups.
Subjects: 
Coups d'état
Military coups
Coup-proofing
Extreme bounds analysis
JEL: 
D74
F52
H56
K10
Persistent Identifier of the first edition: 
Document Type: 
Working Paper

Files in This Item:
File
Size





Items in EconStor are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.