Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/147005 
Year of Publication: 
2016
Series/Report no.: 
DICE Discussion Paper No. 228
Publisher: 
Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE), Düsseldorf
Abstract: 
Media platforms typically operate in a two-sided market, where advertising space serves as a major source of revenues. However, advertising volumes are highly volatile over time and characterized by cyclical behavior. Firms' marketing expenditures in general are far from stable. Due to planning of future issues as well as financial planning, platforms have to forecast the demand for advertising space in their future issues. We use structural time series analysis to predict advertising volumes and compare the results with simple autoregressive models.
Subjects: 
advertising volumes
cyclical behavior
AR-processes
structural time series models
ISBN: 
978-3-86304-227-1
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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