Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/145000
Authors: 
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
Catik, Abdurrahman Nazif
Helmi, Mohamad Husam
Ali, Faek Nemla
Akdeniz, Coskun
Year of Publication: 
2016
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper 5965
Abstract: 
This paper examines the Taylor rule in five emerging economies, namely Indonesia, Israel, South Korea, Thailand, and Turkey. In particular, it investigates whether monetary policy in these countries can be more accurately described by (i) an augmented rule including the exchange rate, as well as (ii) a nonlinear threshold specification (estimated using GMM), instead of a baseline linear rule. The results suggest that the reaction of monetary authorities to deviations from target of either the inflation or the output gap varies in terms of magnitude and/or statistical significance across the high and low inflation regimes in all countries. In particular, the exchange rate has an impact in the former but not in the latter regime. Overall, an augmented nonlinear Taylor rule appears to capture more accurately the behaviour of monetary authorities in these countries.
Subjects: 
Taylor rule
nonlinearities
emerging countries
JEL: 
C13
C51
C52
E52
E58
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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