Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/144453 
Year of Publication: 
2013
Series/Report no.: 
NBB Working Paper No. 241
Publisher: 
National Bank of Belgium, Brussels
Abstract: 
We analyze the influence of the Taylor rule on US monetary policy by estimating the policy preferences of the Fed within a DSGE framework. The policy preferences are represented by a standard loss function, extended with a term that represents the degree of reluctance to letting the interest rate deviate from the Taylor rule. The empirical support for the presence of a Taylor rule term in the policy preferences is strong and robust to alternative specifications of the loss function. Analyzing the Fed's monetary policy in the period 2001-2006, we find no support for a decreased weight on the Taylor rule, contrary to what has been argued in the literature. The large deviations from the Taylor rule in this period are due to large, negative demand-side shocks, and represent optimal deviations for a given weight on the Taylor rule.
Subjects: 
optimal monetary policy
simple rules
central bank preferences
JEL: 
E42
E52
E58
E61
E65
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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