Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/142122 
Year of Publication: 
2016
Series/Report no.: 
Economics Discussion Papers No. 2016-23
Publisher: 
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), Kiel
Abstract: 
This paper conducts a comparative analysis of forced international migration between two historical periods: 1969-1990 representing the Cold War era, and 1991-2012, the post-Cold War era. The determinants of refugee migration over the two periods are assessed and compared using a panel data analysis for a sample of 125 countries. In order to control for unobserved country-specific effects and the joint endogeneity of the explanatory variables, the Arellano-Bond Dynamic Panel GMM (Generalized Method of Moments) estimator is used. Overall, the results suggest that significant changes have taken place with both the set of explanatory variables and their individual impact on refugee migration over time. Also noteworthy is the significance of the two flight facilitators - the Internet and the telecommunication devices - included in the model to explain the refugee migration dynamics during the post-Cold War period.
Subjects: 
Forced Migration
War and Conflicts
Flight Facilitators
GMM Dynamic Panel Data Analysis
JEL: 
F22
D74
L86
L96
C23
Creative Commons License: 
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Document Type: 
Working Paper

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