Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/141837
Authors: 
Potrafke, Niklas
Reischmann, Markus
Year of Publication: 
2016
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper 5860
Abstract: 
We asked experts from 113 countries polled by the CESifo World Economic Survey for their opinions on how to handle the crisis in Greece. 61.9% of the experts surveyed were not in favour of Greece exiting the Eurozone in the course of the negotiations held in June and July 2015. However, experts in countries such as Germany, the United Kingdom, Sweden, the Czech Republic, Denmark, and Slovakia were in favour of Greece exiting the Eurozone. The share of experts who were in favour of Greece staying in the Eurozone increased to 69.8% in October 2015. 72.4% of experts surveyed believed that the IMF should provide credit to Greece and 83.6% stated that the IMF should engage in economic reform programmes. Econometric evidence shows that experts from those Eurozone countries with high public debt-to-GDP-ratios were less likely to support the Grexit: when the debt-to-GDP-ratio increased by one percentage point, the likelihood of survey participants favouring the Grexit decreased by around 0.35 percentage points. Support for IMF reforms, by contrast, proved far less controversial.
Subjects: 
Greece
Grexit
experts’ survey
public debt crisis
IMF
international organisations
JEL: 
H63
C83
H12
F53
E42
F45
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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