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Autoren: 
Gadea, Maria Dolores
Gomez Loscos, Ana
Montañes, Antonio
Datum: 
2011
Reihe/Nr.: 
WIFO Working Papers 390
Zusammenfassung: 
This paper sets out a comprehensive framework to identify regional business cycles within Spain and analyses their stylised features and the degree of synchronisation among them and the Spanish economy. We show that the regional cycles are quite heterogeneous although they display some degree of synchronisation that can be partially explained using macroeconomic variables. We also propose a dynamic factor model to cluster the regional co-movements and test if the country cycle is simply the aggregation of the regional ones. We find that the Spanish business cycle is not shared by the 17 regions, but is the sum of the different regional behaviours. The implications derived from our results are useful both for policy makers and analysts.
Schlagwörter: 
Business Cycle
Synchronisation measures
Dynamic factor models
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

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