Bitte verwenden Sie diesen Link, um diese Publikation zu zitieren, oder auf sie als Internetquelle zu verweisen: https://hdl.handle.net/10419/128558 
Erscheinungsjahr: 
2015
Schriftenreihe/Nr.: 
ADB Economics Working Paper Series No. 429
Verlag: 
Asian Development Bank (ADB), Manila
Zusammenfassung: 
We use a dynamic forecasting model to evaluate a wide array of opportunities for sustained economic growth in Myanmar. Our simulation results suggest that the government of Myanmar can advance potential growth drivers, by maintaining a stable macroeconomic environment that is conducive to private investment, promoting human capital development and public investment, facilitating domestic and international private agencies for market development, and strengthening regional economic integration. The government needs a balanced approach to sector interests to promote inclusive and equitable growth. Increasing agricultural productivity, for example, will not only benefit the country's rural poor majority, but it will also release labor resources to facilitate industrial and service sector development. Conversely, industrial and urban development will facilitate agrifood supply chains, improving market access and real incomes in rural areas. Public commitments to improving infrastructure, education, and public health will also be essential to realizing Myanmar's vast economic potential.
Schlagwörter: 
Calibrated General Equilibrium (CGE) model
economic forecasting
Myanmar
policy simulation
potential growth
JEL: 
D58
F41
O11
O47
Persistent Identifier der Erstveröffentlichung: 
Creative-Commons-Lizenz: 
cc-by Logo
Dokumentart: 
Working Paper

Datei(en):
Datei
Größe
1.16 MB





Publikationen in EconStor sind urheberrechtlich geschützt.