Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/128418
Authors: 
Keuschnigg, Christian
Year of Publication: 
2016
Series/Report no.: 
CESifo Working Paper 5714
Abstract: 
The gains in life expectancy are expected to double the dependency ratio and increase population by 10% in Switzerland until 2050. To quantify the effects on pensions, taxes and social contributions, we use an overlapping generations model with five margins of labor supply: labor market participation, hours worked, job search, retirement, and on-the-job training. A passive fiscal strategy would be very costly. A comprehensive reform, including an increase in the effective retirement age to 68 years, may limit the tax increases to 4 percentage points of value added tax and reduce the decline of per capita income to less than 6%.
Subjects: 
aging
pensions
taxation
labor market effects
growth
JEL: 
D58
D91
H55
J26
J64
Document Type: 
Working Paper

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